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Chris Douvos

A Dollar and a Dream

Posted on: November 9th, 2006

Anyone remember Curtis Sharp? A long time ago, Curtis won a $5 million New York Lottery jackpot and he spent the rest of the 1980s sashaying around New York in bespoke suits and bowler hats attracting crowds wherever he went. Curtis was the Man. Charismatic and impish, Curtis was the Toast of the Town.

I once saw Curtis at a Yankee game and the aura around him was palpable. He was Electric. People just wanted to touch Curtis. Maybe some of that luck would rub off.

That afternoon, a few rows behind us, a drunk kept yelling at no one in particular: “You can’t win if you don’t play!” I thought that the guy was pretty creative for exhorting the listless Yanks (it was 1989, after all) to get in the game by using the Lotto marketing slogan within earshot of Curtis. I appreciated the confluence.

I think of Curtis often . . . around my shop, I’ve started calling Curtis the patron saint of LPs who invest in venture capital funds. Don’t get me wrong, I love VC. We continue to find extraordinary people doing venture investing in extraordinary ways.

It just strikes me that when you push some LPs to articulate why they have outsize venture commitments when history shows that only the smallest slice of the business has rewarded the faith, they throw out New York Lottery slogans with Ivy League veneer. They use words like “optionality,” and “asymmetric payoff.” They might as well be mimicking the catchphrases from the Lotto TV commercials: “Hey, you never know,” or “All you need is a dollar and a dream.”

They just want to be Curtis: the guy that beat the odds. I hope that everyone makes shedloads of money and I never root against anyone. That’s bad karma. I do find myself asking, though, how many LPs who invest in venture firms are committing the fallacy of composition: Some people have made fabulous returns in venture, therefore venture will provide fabulous returns. But hey, as they say: you can’t win if you don’t play.




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4 Responses to “A Dollar and a Dream”

  1. Travis Metz Says:

    Shouldn’t Dan be exercising editorial control to prevent Yankees references here?

  2. admin Says:

    It refers to the 1989 team… gives me a warm & fuzzy feeling.

  3. Tim O'Malley Says:

    Chris - skin in the game. I am going to win or die trying. Heavyweight LBOs are going good and maybe some Hedge Funds, but as one VC told me about the LPs he has in his fund, “they keep putting big dollars in VC because it sucks less than everything else right now”….and there you have it.

    With 50 universities possessing endowments worth over $1 billion, where is it all going to go? I think polluted Charles River Ventures may just have it right - buy start-up options. You got an idea - we will buy an option in it for $250,000 betting it might pan out. For every realistic $3 million Series A round other venture funds are doing - CRV QuickStart is getting options and equity in 12 different companies. CRV - if you need a Quickstart company liaison let me know. You won’t have time to keep a beat and work strategically with all of them in your portfolio.

    - TJ O’Malley

  4. David Pohndorf Says:

    Chris — Investors, including endowments, who invest in VC funds in which the principals contribute at least 10% of total commitments, will usually enjoy meaningfully competitive returns, all other things being equal. Morover, if these investors are patient, and invest with patient, company-building VC managers ( patience is a significant attribute of the TIFF investment philosophy as I understand it ), they should do well. Will spot you a tocuhdown in the battle of Lux et Veritas vs. Dei Sub Numine Viget in tomorrow’s game in the bowl…

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