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Bart Schachter

Thomas Friedman – Can’t Get No Respect

Posted on: February 25th, 2009

What’s with the Tom Friedman bashing? In 24 short hours from prime-time glorious mention of venture capital in Sunday’s New York Times op-ed pages, to opinionated humiliation at peHUB.

Easy boys, he’s just a writer. He doesn’t make the rules, he just reports them. Or tries to. And yes, sometimes he can be wrong, just like when we go to the movies and some teenage geek is clicking away in a basement computer trying to save Washington from imminent destruction by a rogue former Soviet Union apparatchik. You’re cheering (at least I am) when he Alt-Tabs his way from a page full of atomic codes to a CIA computer whose password he breaks from a simulated DOS-on-MAC window. Yay, brother! Technology is saving the world, but gimmee a break! Tout le monde knows that it doesn’t actually work that way, and that most laptops would be spinning their hourglass long after the mushroom cloud would cover the lower 48.

But we don’t leave the theater fretting over the incongruence of it all. They are just scriptwriters in Hollywood whose closest contact with technology was the Craigslist search for a roommate when they first got to Tinseland. They created Googling not Google.

Now I’m not saying that Thomas Friedman is a chintzy science fiction writer with only remote knowledge of technology or policy. As others have noted in these pages with usual political aplomb (“I love Thomas Friedman…I’m a huge fan of The World is Flat. Also of that other book, what was is called…. From Beirut to Damascus, or was it Baghdad…whatever it was called, I have a copy of it at home…anyway, he’s great. BUT HE’S DEAD WRONG IN EVERY CONCEIVABLE WAY. Let me tell you the top 30 reasons he’s so freaking wrong!), I happen to think Friedman transforms great ideas into bite size for mass audience consumption. Along the way, his layman reporting combines an artistic license with a fluid and humorous delivery which underscores his point. This doesn’t make him wrong, stupid, or intellectually flawed. It makes him good.

Take for example Hot, Flat and Crowded, Friedman’s latest bestseller which, to the trained eye of a regular Times reader, successfully blends several dozen New York Times articles into what would formerly have been a published collection of several dozen New York Times articles but now is called a book. In one poignant moment, Friedman recounts a panel he once moderated (successfully blending a previous article which reported on this speaking incident and is now delivered in a book – a brilliant study in a creative Creative Commons license that repurposes ones prior work several times over) where he suggested that Al Gore should apologize, yes apologize, for predicting the global climate catastrophe. The apology, he goes on to wittily remark, would not be for sounding this urgent alert, but for underestimating the effects of the global catastrophe. A memorable parable indeed.

The point I am making is that a reader of Friedman understands the literary tools that a great writer or speaker make in order to capture an audience and effectively transmit an idea. The power of persuasion, as Napoleon is probably incorrectly credited with saying, goes to those with grand and simple ideas, not to those with complex and accurate ones.

So what did Friedman actually say?

“You want to spend $20 billion of taxpayer money creating jobs? Fine. Call up the top 20 venture capital firms in America, which are short of cash today because their partners — university endowments and pension funds — are tapped out, and make them this offer: The U.S. Treasury will give you each up to $1 billion to fund the best venture capital ideas that have come your way. If they go bust, we all lose. If any of them turns out to be the next Microsoft or Intel, taxpayers will give you 20 percent of the investors’ upside and keep 80 percent for themselves.”

What precisely is wrong with this statement? Nothing, actually. It turns out that if your policy goal is to provide jobs, especially those with a white-collar, no-shovel-needed variety, venture capital turns out to be absolutely the best vehicle for doing so. Sure you can hand out the money to defunct automakers and help them fund the cost of providing cheap Walgreens prescriptions to long-ago retired Detroit workers. Sure you can hand out billions to banks and subsidize the bonus expense of “talent” which might otherwise jump to Madoff Investments in order to keep making payments on their Hamptons chalet. But if you really care about building next-generation innovation in industries that will form the basis of the 21st century, there is simply no better way of dispensing the money than via venture capital. Its purpose, ladies and gentlemen, is to create jobs and innovation!

Yes, I know the arguments. There is no lack of venture capital. Well, certainly sitting on Sand Hill Road we think they are all having cake, but if you’re an entrepreneur thinking about leaving Cisco to build out a new product, you need not apply. Most VC firms today have stopped evaluating new investments because their existing portfolio companies are heading the way of Atlantis. Tell those entrepreneurs that “good ideas will always get funded.”

Then there is the “bailout” argument. Most VCs are making good money and wouldn’t stand having government restrict their compensation with such a “bailout.” But the government doesn’t need to set restrictions on compensation. It’s called a management fee. And most billionaire VCs didn’t get there by taking fees. Now if you’re taking millions of dollars out in fees while providing no returns, you don’t need the government to tell you something is wrong.

There is the over-funding argument. The VC industry is suffering, as others have postulated, because there is too much money in the system, not too little. There again most agree as I have argued before, that a liquidity crisis is the source of our ailment, and not excess of capital. Back in 1999, the last year most VCs made real money, there was a lot MORE excess venture capital but the abundance of exits provided success to many and nobody was complaining. Bring back the excess capital, as long as you bring back liquidity.

The “let’s scale this back to 20 firms” approach – which interestingly enough Friedman did pick up from his VC friends in Aspen – seems to be the recurring message here.  Venture Capitalist, it would seem, like Detroit automakers, think reducing or eliminating competition is the best way to win. Hmm…

Now I don’t want to leave you thinking there are no faults in Friedman’s prose and that I am an unrequited apologist for Mr. Iraq War. Take for example this statement in the same Sunday piece:

“Some of our best companies, such as Intel, were started in recessions, when necessity makes innovators even more inventive and risk-takers even more daring”

A quick check at Wikipedia would show Herr Friedman that Intel was started in 1968, a booming year almost exactly midway between the 1960-61 recession and the 1973-1974 oil-induced crisis. The “data” here is in fact, preposterously incorrect. But even if it were true, the great-companies-get-started-in-recessions narrative is an inspiring but statistically incorrect one. The fact that Facebook started during a recession does not increase its probability of success at all. Most other companies started at the same time have failed. But it makes a great story.

So go on Mr. Friedman, tell another good story. Some of us are still listening.




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10 Responses to “Thomas Friedman – Can’t Get No Respect”

  1. Thomas Friedman Says:

    Dear Mr. Schachter, We have never met, but I have never, ever, read someone describing what I do and how I do it, better than you have just done. Thank you. I saw all this ridiculous bashing and said to myself: what in the world is wrong with these people? I was just using the VC community as a front for the notion that if we are going to give away $20 billion dollars, let us funnel it as efficiently as we can to the most innovative people in our economy. As a shorthand for that, I suggested doing it through the VC community, as the most efficient conduit. Hard to believe that people involved in this would be so hostile to it. Makes no sense. Anyway, thanks for your really, really thoughtful commentary. Best wishes, Tom
    P.S. Send me an address so I can send you an autographed book!

  2. Steve Says:

    “Back in 1999, the last year most VCs made real money, there was a lot MORE excess venture capital but the abundance of exits provided success to many and nobody was complaining. Bring back the excess capital, as long as you bring back liquidity”

    Gee, do you think one reason there is no liquidity now is because VC’s pawned a ton of dogs off on the public markets? This is an astonishingly self-centered view of venture capital. Keep a company alive long enough to get some sucker in the public markets to buy it before it blows up. Get used to it, the public markets are still smarting from getting screwed and ain’t going back to 1999…..

  3. Tom O Says:

    Most VC’s obviously have their heads buried where the sun doesn’t shine. How can you be bashing a journalist for saying that your industry can help job creation (albeit in a ‘literary license’ way)?

    Hey Tom, guess what, the VC industry has always lived off the fruits of government-funded research in universities. Unfortunately Universities have always lacked the wherewithal and knowhow to privatize their research results.

    Methinks you should now write an article asking the government to give this money to University-owned VC funds instead. Since the private sector VC’s feel they have ‘too much liquidity’

  4. Davis Says:

    KPMG owns Tom Friedman….what is the surprise?

  5. Praveen Says:

    Most people would agree with the premise that the venture capital industry can, and has, created jobs and spurred the U.S. economy. But most industry observers are questioning that fundamental premise now.

    Are venture capitalists deploying capital efficiently and smartly, spurring innovation, and creating high quality jobs?

    The industry’s performance over the last several years provides a clear answer: NO. The investors have broadly abandoned the classic investment principle - deploy less capital initially when the risk is high, and gradually expand it to match declining risk. As a result, the venture capital industry is no longer the paragon of capital efficiency and productivity. The industry urgently needs new investment approaches but the leading firms have failed to innovate. Consequently, piling more money in those same firms will likely encourage their irresponsible profligacy.

  6. True Ventures » Thank you Bart Schachter Says:

    [...] post by Bart Schachter over on PEHub on the continuing Thomas Friedman vs VC saga. For the record, we’re squarely in [...]

  7. NotTomFriedman Says:

    I sincerely question whether the above response is indeed from Thomas Friedman. Some clarity from PEHub would be valuable.

  8. Dan Primack Says:

    It was him.

  9. Eric Blomquist Says:

    Thos. Friedman’s hypothesis wasn’t that VCs needed a bailout but that $20B committed to them would have a greater effect on economic growth and job creation than a similar amount of government spending (or, “investment,” in the President’s parlance). This hypothesis is true as far as it goes, but where it fails is that it relies on the long-disproven premise that government spending (whether directed to VC investment or buying green Frisbees) is stimulative.

    Within the realm of fiscal policy (i.e., taxing and spending), permanent structural changes to improve private incentives to invest and hire are more stimulative than one-off events because the former persist. On the tax side, permanent tax reform (e.g., Reagan-era rate reduction and tax base expansion) is more persistent than a temporary tax holiday (e.g., the Bush tax cuts, which expire presently). The stimulative effect of the former and ineffectiveness of the latter are generally recognized. On the spend side, temporary measures (e.g., the Bush per-capita “stimulus” tax rebate) and permanent measures (transfer payments) are zero-sum by definition. The ineffectiveness of each in stimulating growth is generally recognized. The conclusion is that a permanent change in tax policy to reduce the government’s take by $20B in the current year will be more stimulative of investment and hiring than a temporary tax holiday or any one-off spending item or transfer payment in a similar amount. The reason, again, is the persistence of the incentive.

    So, and back to Thos. Friedman, the better criticism of his argument is not that VCs might spend $20B better than the federal government, but that permanently reducing the government’s take by a similar amount would have a greater stimulative effect on investment and job creation.

  10. True Ventures » Listen to Reid Hoffman: Let Our Startups Bail Us Out Says:

    [...] of text spilled last week among VCs and Thomas Friedman about his proposal for government-sponsored entrepreneurship. Details [...]

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