Want to insult a buyout pro? Don’t tell him that his fund was marked down. Tell him that it was marked down more than a venture fund was marked down. Ouch. Sting. Burn.
Cambridge Associates has released new fund performance data, which shows that private equity firms (buyout, growth equity, mezz) lost more value for limited partners than did VC firms, during the first three quarters of 2008. Not just actual dollars — of which buyouts simply has more — but in terms of percentage (net of fees, carried interest and other expenses). And given what we know about Q4, it’s a reversal of fortune that can be expected to accelerate.
Specifically, non-VC private equity firms were down 8.9% through Q3 2008, compared to a negative 4.26% mark for VC funds. The gap is even more pronounced for one-year performance (Q3 07-Q3 08), where buyout firms are at -5.5% compared to -0.9% for VC funds. They both suck, of course, but VC sucks less.
Things flip around once you begin looking at three-year and five-year performance. Venture has the lead on 10-year, but expect that to disappear once the tin mark signifies the dotcom bust rather than the dotcom boom.
The Cambridge Associates data is based on a sample of 748 private equity firms raised between 1986-2008, and 1,238 VC funds raised between 1981-2008. Also worth noting that Cambridge’s results are more favorable to the VC industry than are Venture Economics’ results. Not in terms of this specific issue of YTD buyouts vs. VC, but just in terms of overall VC benchmarks.
You can download the documents here.